![]() ![]() □ - Twitter isn’t the political echo chamber you think it is : While those of us who contribute to Sunburn and you who read it might spend a not insignificant amount of time chugging through headlines and scouring Twitter, most people don’t. Basically, as the explainer highlights, if Democrats lose any of those seats, the chances of a GOP majority increase significantly, but when the model assumes a Republican loss, Democrats’ chances only increase slightly. Eleven are toss-ups, eight lean Republican and 1 is likely Republican. FiveThirtyEight describes the disparity, noting that not a single “tipping-point” district - those most likely to put either party over a majority - leans Democrat. House of Representatives, despite the generic polling average showing Democrats leading. □ - Why Democrats probably won’t hold the House : FiveThirtyEight’s Deluxe model gives Republicans about a 70% chance of winning control of the U.S. As Steven Shepard of POLITICO writes, polling is trending toward another 50-50 tie - a Democratic majority under the current presidential administration - with the most likely flips being Nevada for the GOP and Pennsylvania for Democrats. ![]() Senate majority is still looking like a nail-biter. □ - With one month to go before Election Day: The battle for the U.S. ![]() Here are some items which caught my attention over the weekend. ![]()
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